Conversations by topic: Master Classes

Condensing it All Into Four Big Problems and a Killer App Solution
Skillful Backward and Forward Reasoning in Time: Superforecasting Requires "Counterfactualizing"
Counterfactual History: The Elusive Control Groups in Policy Debates
Tournaments: Prying Open Closed Minds in Unnecessarily Polarized Debates
Forecasting Tournaments: What We Discover When We Start Scoring Accuracy