Then, the force between these two branes slowly brings the branes together. As it brings them together, the force grows stronger and the branes speed towards one another. When they collide, there's a walloping impact—enough to bring create a high density of matter and radiation with a very high, albeit finite temperature. The two branes go flying apart, more or less back to where they are, and then the new matter and radiation (through the action of gravity) causes the branes to begin a new period of stretching.

In this picture it's clear that the universe is going through periods of expansion, and a funny kind of contraction. Where the two branes come together, it's not a contraction of our dimensions, but a contraction of the extra dimension. Before the contraction, all matter and radiation has been spread out, but, unlike the old cyclic models of the 20's and 30's, it doesn't come back together again during the contraction because our three dimensions—that is, the branes—remain stretched out. Only the extra dimension contracts. This process repeats itself cycle after cycle.

If you compare the cyclic model to the consensus picture, two of the functions of inflation—namely, flattening and homogenizing the universe—are accomplished by the period of accelerated expansion that we've now just begun. Of course, I really mean the analogous expansion that occurred one cycle ago before the most recent Bang. The third function of inflation—producing fluctuations in the density—occurs as these two branes come together. As they approach, quantum fluctuations cause the branes to begin to wrinkle. And because they are wrinkled, they do not collide everywhere at the same time. Rather, some regions collide a bit earlier than others. This means that some regions reheat to a finite temperature and begin to cool a little bit before other regions. When the branes come apart again, the temperature of the universe is not perfectly homogeneous but has spatial variations left over from the quantum wrinkles.

Remarkably, although the physical processes are completely different, and the time scale is completely different—this is taking billions of years, instead of 10[-30] (ten to the -30) seconds—it turns out that the spectrum of fluctuations you get in the distribution of energy and temperature is essentially the same as what you get in inflation. Hence, the cyclic model is also in exquisite agreement with all of the measurements of the temperature and mass distribution of the universe that we have today.

Because the physics in these two models is quite different, there is an important distinction in what we would observe if one or the other were actually true—although this effect has not been detected yet. In inflation when you create fluctuations, you don't just create fluctuations in energy and temperature, but you also create fluctuations in spacetime itself, so-called gravitational waves. That's a feature that we hope to look for in experiments in the coming decades as a verification of the consensus model. In our model you don't get those gravitational waves. The essential difference is that inflationary fluctuations are created in a hyperrapid, violent process that is strong enough to created gravitational waves, whereas cyclic fluctuations are created in an ultraslow, gentle process that is too weak to produce gravitational waves. That's an example where the two models give an observational prediction that is dramatically different. It's just difficult to observe at the present time.

What's fascinating at the moment is that we have two paradigms that are now available to us. On the one hand they are poles apart, in terms of what they tell us about the nature of time, about our cosmic history, about the order in which events occur, and about the time scale on which they occur. On the other hand they are remarkably similar in terms of what they predict about the universe today. Ultimately what will decide between the two is be a combination of observations—for example, the search for cosmic gravitational waves—and theory—because a key aspect to this scenario entails assumptions about what happens at the collision between branes that might be checked or refuted in superstring theory. In the meantime, for the next few years, we can all have great fun speculating about the implications of each of these ideas, which we prefer, and how we can best distinguish between them.

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