|
||||||||||||||||||||
Edge 325 — August 31, 2010 STEPHEN H. SCHNEIDER THE THIRD CULTURE Photo Album |
STEPHEN H. SCHNEIDER Warming is unequivocal, that's true. But that's not a sophisticated question. A much more sophisticated question is how much of the climate Ma Earth, a perverse lady, gives us is from her, and how much is caused by us. That's a much more sophisticated, and much more difficult question.
Stanford climate researcher Stephen H. Schneider, a long-time friend, colleague and Edge contributor, died last month at the age of 65 of a heart attack while on a flight to London. To remember him, Edge asked Andrew Revkin and Stewart Brand to have an email conversation about his influence on their thinking. From 1995 through 2009, he covered the environment for The New York Times as a staff reporter and he continues to write his "Dot Earth" blog for The Times Op-Ed section. With his 1968 National Book Award-winning Whole Earth Catalog, Brand was one of the founders of the ecology movement. He is the author of recently-published Whole Earth Discipline. Below, is a 20-minute EdgeVideo interview with Stephen Schneider from our April 2008 feature on his work, "Modeling the Future". — JB STEPHEN H. SCHNEIDER, a climatologist, was Professor of Environmental Biology and Global Change at Stanford University, a Co-Director at the Center for Environment Science and Policy of the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies and a Senior Fellow in the Stanford Woods Institute for the Environment. He was the author of Laboratory Earth: The Planetary Gamble We Can't Afford to Lose. |
|
REMEMBERING STEPHEN SCHNEIDER: Andrew Revkin & Stewart Brand STEWART BRAND: What I appreciated most about Steve — along with all the significant work he did on climate science and climate policy — was his readiness to declare in public when his mind had been changed by new and better data.
He warned about global cooling when it looked like particulate aerosols were dominating climate change, and then as soon as more thorough models indicated that the effects from increasing greenhouse gases would swamp the cooling effects of aerosols, he reversed his position right away and explained why. Likewise, several months after he first participated in warnings about "nuclear winter," he publicized new studies indicating that the initial fears were exaggerated. That's intellectual honesty. ANDREW REVKIN: I first got to know Steve while reporting a long cover story for Science Digest on nuclear winter (published March, 1985), followed soon after by our interactions while I was trying to determine the fate of Vladimir Alexandrov, a Soviet climate modeler and spokesman on nuclear winter (and probable spy for someone; it was never clear whether for the USSR, USA, or both) who had spent months working on supercomputers at the National Center for Atmospheric Research with Steve and others and vanished in Spain in the mid 1980s while attending a conference on nuclear-free cities.
I, too, was impressed with Steve's eagerness to follow the data, including his work with Starley Thompson of NCAR that concluded the cooling effect of smoke lofted from immolated cities after a nuclear war would be more "nuclear autumn" than nuclear winter. Some scientists, particularly Alan Robock at Rutgers, say Steve was wrong about that conclusion, although my sense is there's enough uncertainty in the science of post-war cooling that it'll never be a significant influence should someone be pondering pushing the button. In my 1985 article, Steve was one of those who, along with Freeman Dyson, emphasized the importance of recognizing and acknowledging uncertainties as much as the established facts in considering policy options. And as a communicator, of course, I was soon captivated by Steve's passion for diving into the public arena, but also for clarifying that, on policy questions, a scientist's views were as shaped by values as that of anyone else. He was a frequent source of mine on climate science and policy from 1988, when I bumped into him at the first International Conference on the Changing Atmosphere, in Toronto, Canada, on through about one week before he died. But I've already found it necessary to draw on his insights after his death. A few weeks ago, an anonymous comment contributor on Dot Earth, "Wmar," asserted that there was now no need to press for policies to limit risks from global warming because the hypothesis "has been proved to have been falsifiable" — as if there is one simple question in play, as if decisions about such risks are a simple yes/no function of the data. I responded by quoting from a 2006 e-mail message from Steve, which I'd never published: "Wmar," you keep trying to set up the question of responding to the risks of human-driven climate change as if there is a single falsifiable hypothesis that determines — yes or no — whether action is justified (on emissions, separate from adaptation). This will never be that easy. This is the way Steve Schneider put the situation in an e-mail to me in 2006 (I'll be publishing a "Schneidergate" collection sometime later this summer): "...To be risk averse is good policy in my VALUE SYSTEM — and we always must admit that how to take risk — with climate damages or costs of mitigation/adaptation — is not science but world views and risk aversion philosophy — and whether you fear more the type one error (wrong forecast so you wasted resources by acting on it) or type two error (right forecast but too uncertain so you didn't act and it happened and you really got hurt by not hedging) is a value tradeoff..." My guess is that your values shape your interpretation of the science (and the interpretations of your intellectual antagonists here), and also fuel your eagerness to portray the response question as subject to the certainty (or lack of it) in the science. Any chance that's right? I guarantee I'll be drawing on my "Schneidergate" e-mail storehouse for a long time to come. STEWART BRAND: Andrew, how would you compare and contrast Steve with other major players in the climate change drama? ANDREW REVKIN: I saw him as more up front about the limited role of science in determining societal responses to global warming than most of his peers — many of whom, still today, seem surprised, almost affronted, that society hasn't jumped to respond to the message they see as so clearcut. And of course he was one of a handful of scientists immersed at the interface of climate science and policy who stressed that the UNcertainties were the reason for action — even as others sometimes tried to downplay the uncertainties as a way to jog the public and policymakers. STEWART BRAND: Do say more. "Brash," "feisty," "outspoken" — those common adjectives about Steve mix interestingly with his willingness to change his mind when persuaded by broader data or deeper models. His normal conversational mode was argument, often in full rant. He put it right out front in his book titles — "The Patient from Hell" and "Science as a Contact Sport." Often under attack, he gave as good as he got. I think what saved him and his science is that he argued just as ferociously with himself. ANDREW REVKIN: Relentlessly energetic, feisty and in a hurry, but recognizing the realities of the world. |
|
THE NEW SCIENCE OF MORALITY We are pleased to present three more talks — by Sam Harris, Roy Baumeister, Paul Bloom — from the Edge "New Science of Morality Conference" in July. Below please find (a) videos of the 25-minute talks; (b) downloadable MP3 audio files; and (c) transcripts of the talks. [EDITOR'S NOTE: Marc Hauser, one of the nine participants at the conference, has withdrawn his contribution.] |
|
THE NEW SCIENCE OF MORALITY ...I think we should differentiate three projects that seem to me to be easily conflated, but which are distinct and independently worthy endeavors. The first project is to understand what people do in the name of "morality." We can look at the world, witnessing all of the diverse behaviors, rules, cultural artifacts, and morally salient emotions like empathy and disgust, and we can study how these things play out in human communities, both in our time and throughout history. We can examine all these phenomena in as nonjudgmental a way as possible and seek to understand them. We can understand them in evolutionary terms, and we can understand them in psychological and neurobiological terms, as they arise in the present. And we can call the resulting data and the entire effort a "science of morality". This would be a purely descriptive science of the sort that I hear Jonathan Haidt advocating. |
Sam Harris
SAM HARRIS is a neuroscientist and the author of The End of Faith and Letter to a Christian Nation. He and his work have been discussed in Newsweek, TIME, The New York Times, Scientific American, Nature, Rolling Stone, and many other journals. His writing has appeared in Newsweek, The New York Times, The Los Angeles Times, The Times (London), The Boston Globe, The Atlantic, The Annals of Neurology, PLoS ONE, and elsewhere. Mr. Harris is a Co-Founder and CEO of Project Reason, a nonprofit foundation devoted to spreading scientific knowledge and secular values in society. He received a degree in philosophy from Stanford University and a Ph.D. in neuroscience from UCLA. He is the author of the forthcoming The Moral Landscape: How Science Can Determine Human Values (Free Press). Links: Articles & Press:
Books: |
THE NEW SCIENCE OF MORALITY And so that said, in terms of trying to understand human nature, well, and morality too, nature and culture certainly combine in some ways to do this, and I'd put these together in a slightly different way, it's not nature's over here and culture's over there and they're both pulling us in different directions. Rather, nature made us for culture. I'm convinced that the distinctively human aspects of psychology, the human aspects of evolution were adaptations to enable us to have this new and better kind of social life, namely culture. Culture is our biological strategy. It's a new and better way of relating to each other, based on shared information and division of labor, interlocking roles and things like that. And it's worked. It's how we solve the problems of survival and reproduction, and it's worked pretty well for us in that regard. And so the distinctively human traits are ones often there to make this new kind of social life work. Now, where does this leave us with morality? |
Roy Baumeister
ROY BAUMEISTER is Francis Eppes Eminent Scholar and head of the social psychology graduate program at Florida State University. He received his PhD in 1978 from Princeton in experimental social psychology and maintains an active laboratory, but he also seeks to understand human nature in the big picture, such as by tackling broad philosophical problems with social science methods. He has nearly 450 publications. He is among the most widely influential psychologists in the world, as indicated by being cited over a thousand times each year in the scientific literature. His 27 books include Meanings of Life, Evil: Inside Human Violence and Cruelty, The Cultural Animal: Human Nature, Meaning, and Social Life, Is There Anything Good about Men?, and the forthcoming (with John Tierney) Willpower: The Rediscovery of Humans’ Greatest Strength. Links:
Articles & Press:
Books: |
THE NEW SCIENCE OF MORALITY What I want to do today is talk about some ideas I've been exploring concerning the origin of human kindness. And I'll begin with a story that Sarah Hrdy tells at the beginning of her excellent new book, "Mothers And Others." She describes herself flying on an airplane. It’s a crowded airplane, and she's flying coach. She's waits in line to get to her seat; later in the flight, food is going around, but she's not the first person to be served; other people are getting their meals ahead of her. And there's a crying baby. The mother's soothing the baby, the person next to them is trying to hide his annoyance, other people are coo-cooing the baby, and so on. |
Paul Bloom
PAUL BLOOM is a professor of psychology at Yale University. His research explores how children and adults understand the physical and social world, with special focus on morality, religion, fiction, and art. He has won numerous awards for his research and teaching. He is past-president of the Society for Philosophy and Psychology, and co-editor of Behavioral and Brain Sciences, one of the major journals in the field. Dr. Bloom has written for scientific journals such as Nature and Science, and for popular outlets such as The New York Times, the Guardian, and the Atlantic. He is the author or editor of four books, including How Children Learn the Meanings of Words, and Descartes' Baby: How the Science of Child Development Explains What Makes Us Human. His newest book, How Pleasure Works: The New Science of Why We Like What We Like, was published in June, 2010. Links:
Articles & Press:
|
NEW YORK TIMES - DOT EARTH
August 28, 2010ON HARVARD MISCONDUCT, CLIMATE RESEARCH AND TRUST
By Andrew C. RevkinEarlier this week I was invited to join an e-mail discussion involving a variegated array of scientists and science communicators exploring a provocative question posed by one of them (I'll leave the identities out, but will invite them to weigh in here).
The conversation encompassed the case of Marc Hauser, the Harvard specialist in cognition found guilty of academic misconduct, and assertions that climate research suffered far too much from group think, protective tribalism and willingness to spin findings to suit an environmental agenda.
The question? "Maybe science—in some fields, not necessarily all of them—is much more corrupt than anyone wants to acknowledge." ...
THE CAPRICIOUS WAY IN THE FUTURE (Der launische Weg in die Zukunft) Leading researchers on discoveries that fundamentally changelife on earth
By Eva Stanzl
...But what if leading scientists provide philosophical reflections on discoveries that could change our future? Would they also exude anxiety and pessimism - particularly because the state of knowledge always deepens? John Brockmann, a former performance artist, editor of the Internet magazine "Edge" and head of a literary agency in New York, has obtained such considerations. Where he edited Volume "What idea will change everything?" (Fischer), the science looks sober in the future. Instead of painting colorful outlook on the wall, the authors explore the possibilities of existing innovations. Is no trace of fear, but not of utopia. ...
Google Translation | German Language Original
WHAT IS A MEMORY
Arcadi Espada
A correspondence with Sam Cooke:Dear Researcher:
I am a Spanish journalist, who works in the newspaper El Mundo and is interested in issues of neuroscience. I read with great interest "Improving the memory, erase the memory: the future of our past," the Spanish translation of his article included in What's Next? Dispatches on the Future of Science, edited by Max Brockman. In this article makes you some references to the future possibility could erase certain memories and the possibility of adding new ones. I do not care now the plausibility of these hypotheses, if not somewhat earlier. What does it mean to isolate a memory?
Google Translation | Spanish Original
MEMBRANA (Russia)
July 22, 2010QUANTUM TIME MACHINE RESOLVES THE PARADOX OF KILLING GRANDFATHER
Whatever happened to the positive protagonist of the standard action movie, we know beforehand - he survived. Law of the genre. Now scientists have substantiated a similar law of nature for the displacements in time. If the hypothesis is correct, the traveler will never be able to kill his grandfather in the past: something must reject the bullet, knife or a brick in the last minute.
Google Translation | Russian Language Original
NEUROSCIENCE OR 'NEUROSEXISM'? BOOK CLAIMS BRAIN SCANS SELL SEXES SHORTBy Dan Vergano
"There are real, and in some cases sizable, sex differences with respect to some cognitive (thinking) abilities," psychologist Diane Halpern of Claremont (Calif.) McKenna College argued in a 2008 Edge Foundation essay. "But we have no reason to expect that complex phenomena like cognitive development have simple answers," she added, arguing that neither brain wiring nor discrimination alone can explain the differences between men and women.
AFTENPOSTEN (Norway)
August 6, 2010ANOTHER TYPE OF THINKING: TO BE AN "INTELLECTUAL" TODAY REQUIRES KNOWLEDGE OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Bjørn Vassnes
John Brockman was a literary agent for Richard Dawkins and Steven Pinker, among other leading figures of what he called "the third culture," and he created a digital meeting place, edge.org, where many of the world's sharpest minds regularly participate in interesting, but understandable discussions on everything from the Internet's effect on the human brain to the root causes behind terrorism.Google Translation | Norwegian Original
STRAITS TIMES SINGAPORE
July 31, 2010HAS THE NET STALLED OUR THINKING?
By Andy HoEVERY year, a United States-based non-profit group called The Edge Foundation poses a big question to renowned thought leaders.
This year, 172 individuals were asked to talk about the Internet. Here is a sample of the most interesting responses just posted on its read-only website. ...
THE EDGE ANNUAL QUESTION BOOK SERIES
Edited by John Brockman
"An intellectual treasure trove"
San Francisco Chronicle
THIS WILL CHANGE EVERYTHING: IDEAS THAT WILL SHAPE THE FUTURE(*)
Edited by John Brockman
Harper PerennialNOW IN BOOKSTORES AND ONLINE!
Contributors include: RICHARD DAWKINS on cross-species breeding; IAN McEWAN on the remote frontiers of solar energy; FREEMAN DYSON on radiotelepathy; STEVEN PINKER on the perils and potential of direct-to-consumer genomics; SAM HARRIS on mind-reading technology; NASSIM NICHOLAS TALEB on the end of precise knowledge; CHRIS ANDERSON on how the Internet will revolutionize education; IRENE PEPPERBERG on unlocking the secrets of the brain; LISA RANDALL on the power of instantaneous information; BRIAN ENO on the battle between hope and fear; J. CRAIG VENTER on rewriting DNA; FRANK WILCZEK on mastering matter through quantum physics.
"a provocative, demanding clutch of essays covering everything from gene splicing to global warming to intelligence, both artificial and human, to immortality... the way Brockman interlaces essays about research on the frontiers of science with ones on artistic vision, education, psychology and economics is sure to buzz any brain." (Chicago Sun-Times)"11 books you must read — Curl up with these reads on days when you just don't want to do anything else: 5. John Brockman's This Will Change Everything: Ideas That Will Shape the Future" (Forbes India)
"Full of ideas wild (neurocosmetics, "resizing ourselves," "intuit[ing] in six dimensions") and more close-to-home ("Basketball and Science Camps," solar technology"), this volume offers dozens of ingenious ways to think about progress" (Publishers Weekly — Starred Review)
"A stellar cast of intellectuals ... a stunning array of responses...Perfect for: anyone who wants to know what the big thinkers will be chewing on in 2010. " (New Scientist)
"Pouring over these pages is like attending a dinner party where every guest is brilliant and captivating and only wants to speak with you—overwhelming, but an experience to savor." (Seed)
Edge Foundation, Inc. is a nonprofit private operating foundation under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code.
1